Please join us for a research seminar presented by IFPRI Research Fellow, Dr. Hiroyuki Takeshima, titled "Ex-ante Assessment of Rice Seed Policies: Implications from a Farm Household Model Simulation." In this seminar, Dr. Takeshima will draw upon other countries' experiences with developing rice varieties, with a focus on the implications for Nigeria. In addition, he will present the results of a simulation of seed subsidies and other seed policies in Nigeria. For the full abstract and bio, see below.
Date: Tuesday, September 24th, 2013
Time: 1:00PM - 2:30PM
Venue: IFDC/IFPRI Conference Room
No 6/Plot 1413 Ogbagi Street
Off Oro-Ago Crescent
Cadastral Zone II
(Near old CBN building and behind Union Homes)
RSVP: Please email email@example.com by the 23rd of September to confirm your attendance
Rice seeds comprise a relatively small share of rice production costs because once rice seed varieties are developed, they can be easily multiplied and recycled. They are also often traded in the informal sector; avoiding formal regulation. Past seed literature has focused on seed supply policy, such as seed subsidies, regulatory framework or seed diffusion. For certain crops or types of seeds, such as hybrid maize or potato, seed costs are substantial and these policies can be highly relevant. It is, however, not clear whether these policies can have an impact on rice because rice seed costs account for only a small share of production costs. More importantly, the impacts of these policies may depend on how good the varieties are. Unfortunately, little research has been done on this issue because the private sector has little incentive to develop new rice varieties. Therefore, the public sector can play a critical role in not only seed supply policy, but also rice variety development.
This seminar briefly presents key experiences outside of Nigeria, mostly tropical Asia, in rice variety development, focusing on the implications for domestic rice research in Nigeria. The seminar will focus on the preliminary results of an on-going study that analyzes, ex-ante, the impact of rice seed subsidies and other seed policies, and the effects of variety improvements on farm production decisions and household incomes. Given the difficulty in distinguishing between varieties in the existing agricultural survey, this study instead uses a simple simulation method applied to farm household models. The seminar discusses key hypotheses and the future direction of the study.